So, Michelle Bachmann has won the Iowa Straw Poll. What does this mean for the country?
She's gotten more coverage in the last few weeks than she could've hoped for. On the basis of his showing in the straw poll, Tim Pawlenty dropped out of the race. Our submissive media has been trumpeting this particular "first American caucus" as if it were the most important indicator of the election.
Well, I think it's important to note one little detail about the history of this particular poll.
The Ames Straw Pole has been held a total of six times (in 1979, and then in 1987, 1995, 1999, 2007 and now in 2011). In all that time, it correctly predicted the upcoming president of the United States once. In real terms, that is an accuracy rate of 17%.
It's roughly as accurate as throwing a handful of corn over a list of candidates, and letting the chicken choose the winner.
So the results mean less than nothing, and we can expect to see the GOP continue to do what they've always done.
That, my friends, is the importance to the American political landscape of the Ames Straw Poll.